NBA Draft Stuff

The draft is coming up very fast (thursday of this week). A couple of months ago I made the decision to do a sort of draft consensus spreadsheet to try and keep track of the fluctuations that would occur during the lead up to the draft. Of course, that never happened... but I have decided to run one now, with 5 days to go before draft night and to compare it to the one that was put together 2 months ago.

It's a pretty simple thing - just plug in the mock draft listings from 6 different mocks, add up the numbers and then divide it by the number of mock drafts used to come up with an 'average'. The mock drafts used are: draftexpress.com, nbadraft.net, insidehoops.com, collegehoops.net and realgm.com. Here are the results as of today.

Pick	Team	Player	Score
1	Trailblazers	Greg Oden C	1.00
2	SuperSonics	Kevin Durant SF/PF	2.00
3	Hawks	Al Horford PF/C	3.33
4	Grizzlies	Mike Conley Jr PG	5.33
5	Celtics	Brandan Wright PF	5.50
6	Bucks	Jeff Green SF/PF	6.83
7	Timberwolves	Corey Brewer SF	7.00
8	Bobcats	Joakim Noah PF/C	7.33
9	Bulls	Yi Jianlian PF/C	9.00
10	Kings	Spencer Hawes C	9.17
11	Hawks	Al Thornton SF/PF	11.50
12	76ers	Julian Wright SF/PF	13.33
13	Hornets	Nick Young SG/SF	13.50
14	Clippers	Javaris Crittenton PG	14.00
15	Pistons	Acie Law PG	15.00
16	Wizards	Thaddeus Young SF/PF	15.83
17	Nets	Rodney Stuckey PG/SG	17.00
18	Warriors	Jason Smith PF/C	18.17
19	Lakers	Josh McRoberts PF/C	21.17
20	Heat	Tiago Splitter PF/C	21.33
21	76ers	Derrick Byars SG/SF	21.83
22	Bobcats	Daequan Cook SG	22.40
23	Knicks	Rudy Fernández SG	22.50
24	Suns	Marco Belinelli SG	23.67
25	Jazz	Sean Williams C	24.17
26	Rockets	Morris Almond SG/SF	26.67
27	Pistons	Gabe Pruitt PG	29.60
28	Spurs	Alando Tucker SF	30.67
29	Suns	Jared Dudley SF/PF	31.33
30	76ers	Arron Afflalo SG/SF	31.40
31	SuperSonics	Marcus Williams SG/SF	32.60
32	Celtics	Petteri Koponen PG	33.00
33	Spurs	Wilson Chandler SF/PF	33.00
34	Mavericks	Nick Fazekas PF/C	33.33
35	SuperSonics	Taurean Green PG	34.33
36	Warriors	Aaron Gray C	34.50
37	Trailblazers	Kyrylo Fesenko C	36.20
38	76ers	Glen Davis C	38.00
39	Heat	Marc Gasol C	38.00
40	Lakers	Zabian Dowdell PG/SG	38.67
41	Timberwolves	Aaron Brooks PG	41.00
42	Trailblazers	Jared Jordan PG	41.00
43	Hornets	Demetris Nichols SF	42.00
44	Magic	Reyshawn Terry SF	42.00
45	Clippers	Dominic McGuire SF/PF	42.20
46	Warriors	Ramon Sessions PG	42.20
47	Wizards	Ron Lewis	43.00
48	Lakers	Kyle Visser C	43.80
49	Bulls	Bobby Brown	46.67
50	Mavericks	Trey Johnson SG/SF	47.00
51	Bulls	D.J. Strawberry SG	47.75
52	Trailblazers	Carl Landry PF	48.25
53	Trailblazers	Zoran Erceg PF/C	49.00
54	Magic	Stanko Barac C	49.50
55	Jazz	Quinton Hosley SF	50.00
56	Bucks	Ali Traore PF	50.20
57	Pistons	Renaldas Seibutis SG	50.25
58	Spurs	Stephane Lasme	50.50
59	Suns	JamesOn Curry SG	51.33
60	Mavericks	Russell Carter SG	53.00

This is what it looked like a couple of months ago:

Pick	Team	Consensus Pick
1	Portland	Greg Oden C
2	Seattle	Kevin Durant SF/PF
3	Atlanta	Brandan Wright PF
4	Memphis	Al Horford PF/C
5	Boston	Yi Jianlian PF/C
6	Milwaukee	Joakim Noah PF/C
7	Minnesota	Mike Conley Jr PG
8	Charlotte	Corey Brewer SF
9	Chicago (via NYK)	Roy Hibbert C
10	Sacramento	Jeff Green SF/PF
11	Atlanta (via Indy)	Julian Wright SF/PF
12	Philadelphia	Spencer Hawes C
13	New Orleans	Al Thornton SF/PF
14	LA Clippers	Acie Law PG
15	Detroit (from Orl)	Thaddeus Young SF/PF
16	Washington	Nick Young SG/SF
17	New Jersey	Josh McRoberts PF/C
18	Golden State	Rudy Fernández SG
19	LA Lakers	Tiago Splitter PF/C
20	Miami	Javaris Crittenton PG
21	Philly (from Den)	Rodney Stuckey PG/SG
22	Charlotte (From Tor)	Marco Belinelli SG
23	New York (via Chi)	Derrick Byars SG/SF
24	Phoenix (from Cle)	Jason Smith PF/C
25	Utah	Ante Tomic C
26	Houston	Brandon Rush SG/SF
27	Detroit	Marcus Williams SG/SF
28	San Antonio	Morris Almond SG/SF
29	Phoenix	Gabe Pruitt PG
30	Philly (from Dal)	Aaron Gray C
31	Seattle (from Mem)	Alando Tucker SF
32	Boston	Marc Gasol C
33	San Antonio (from Mil)	Daequan Cook SG
34	Dallas (from Atl)	Arron Afflalo SG/SF
35	Seattle	Sean Williams C
36	GSW (from Min)	Kyle Visser C
37	Portland	Dominic McGuire SF/PF
38	Philadelphia (from Chi)	Nick Fazekas PF/C
39	Orlando (via Utah)	Jared Dudley SF/PF
40	LA Lakers (via Cha)	Glen Davis C
41	Minnesota (via Phi)	Herbert Hill PF/C
42	Portland (from Ind)	Petteri Koponen PG
43	New Orleans	Jermareo Davidson PF/C
44	Orlando	Trey Johnson SG/SF
45	LA Clippers	Wilson Chandler SF/PF
46	GSW (from NJN)	Kyrylo Fesenko C
47	Washington	Taurean Green PG
48	LA Lakers	Reyshawn Terry SF
49	Chicago (via Phx)	Ivan Radenovic PF
50	Dallas (from LAL)	Devon Hardin C
51	Chicago (from Den)	Aaron Brooks PG
52	Portland (from Tor)	Bobby Brown PG
53	Portland (from Chi)	Demetris Nichols SF
54	Orlando (from Cle)	J.R. Reynolds PG/SG
55	Utah	Dominic James PG
56	Milwaukee (from Hou)	Stanko Barac C
57	Detroit	Ryvon Covile PF
58	San Antonio	Marko Thomas SG
59	Phoenix	Quinton Hosley SF
60	Dallas	DJ Strawberry SG

NBA Second Round Picks from 1990 to present...

It's coming up on draft time and there is lots of excitement about the potential of the first rounders this year. To me, what is almost equally as interesting is the 'potential' of there being some good players available in the 2nd round of the draft.

Each year, it seems, there are a handful of guys that fall much farther than they 'should'. When you look over the list you see a number of players that carved out a legit career for themselves from the 2nd round (ie. at least got a 2nd NBA contract, if not more). You'll even see a handful of all-stars that slipped through the cracks. So while most say things like 'the 2nd round is a crap shoot' - which i agree with to a large degree - it's still very interesting to me. I like trying to figure out just who might be that 'guy' that slips too far, and ends up being a solid contributor to a good team.

It's a bit early to judge the 2006 draft just yet, however a couple of people seem to have carved out a niche for themselves to date:

47. Paul Millsap
46. Dee Brown
42. Daniel Gibson

Again, it may be too early to write off the class of 2005 right now, but a few guys have stood out to one degree or another:

56. Amir Johnson - added because apparently Detroit loves this kid
50. Ryan Gomes
40. Monta Ellis
37. Ronny Turiaf

2004 has only shown a few guys so far - but all 3 are fringe starters in my mind:

44. Trevor Ariza
39. Chris Duhon
31. Anderson Varejão

2003 was a banner draft year, from top to bottom. While most focus on all of the good players taken in the first round, the 2nd round had alot of talent also - clearly 2003 was indeed one of the best draft classes ever.

51. Kyle Korver
49. James Jones
47. Mo Williams
45. Matt Bonner
43. Keith Bogans
42. Zaur Pachulia
41. Willie Green
38. Steve Blake
32. Luke Walton
31. Jason Kapono

2002 saw a few solid role players, a couple of fringe starters and a star:

53. Rasual Butler
50. Darius Songaila
46. Matt Barnes
42. Ronald Murray
35. Carlos Boozer
34. Dan Gadzuric

2001 included a most improved player winner, 2 all-stars and 2 other solid starters

53. Jarron Collins
46. Loren Woods
42. Bobby Simmons
40. Earl Watson
38. Mehmet Okur
31. Gilbert Arenas
30. Trenton Hassell

2000 had some solid role-players and a star:

44. Brian Cardinal
43. Michael Redd
38. Eduardo Najera
37. Eddie House
33. Jake Voskuhl
30. Marco Jaric

1999 was similar to 2000 in makeup:

57. Emmanuel Ginobili
53. Rodney Buford
47. Todd MacCulloch
43. Lee Nailon
41. Francisco Elson
40. Gordan Giricek
35. Calvin Booth
32. Michael Ruffin

1998 was a pretty good year for 2nd rounders:

58. Maceo Baston
53. Greg Buckner
44. Sean Marks
43. Jahidi White
41. Cuttino Mobley
39. Rafer Alston
36. Jerome James
33. Jelani McCoy
32. Rashard Lewis
31. Ruben Patterson

Not much star power in 1997, but some solid players non-the-less:

55. Mark Blount
48. Alvin Williams
43. Stephen Jackson
40. Anthony Johnson
38. Marc Jackson

Same goes for 1996. Note that 2 of these guys won championships:

54. Shandon Anderson
44. Malik Rose
37. Jeff McInnis
33. Moochie Norris
30. Othella Harrington

1995:

58. Don Reid
52. Fred Hoiberg
47. Tyus Edney
43. Eric Snow
34. Andrew DeClercq

1994:

54. Zeljko Rebraca
52. Anthony Goldwire
51. Lawrence Funderburke
46. Voshon Lenard
32. Jim McIlvaine
30. Howard Eisley

1993:

47. Chris Whitney
45. Bryon Russell
37. Nick Van Exel
28. Lucious Harris

1992:

42. Matt Geiger
32. Brent Price
30. Sean Rooks
29. P.J. Brown

1991:

48. Isaac Austin
45. Bobby Phills
31. Randy Brown

1990:

48. Cedric Ceballos
45. Antonio Davis
43. Tony Massenburg
40. Bimbo Coles
35. Greg Foster
29. Tony Kukoc